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William O'Neil India

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About William O'Neil India

William O'Neil India provides financial services and information specializing in stock market solutions with a focus on individual equities. William O'Neil India was founded in 1963 and is based in Bengaluru, India.

Headquarters Location

A4, Technomark Television, 1st Floor, NGEF Industrial Estate, Graphite India Road

Bengaluru, 560048,


080-6745 3822

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Latest William O'Neil India News

Enter IT after 1-2 quarters; may bet on 2 midcap banks: Mayuresh Joshi

Apr 16, 2023

Enter IT after 1-2 quarters; may bet on 2 midcap banks: Mayuresh Joshi Mayuresh Joshi , Head-Equity Research India, William O’Neil India, says overall for the IT pack as a whole, valuations have come down. Our take is that that time correction might take a quarter or two, which means there will be better entry points in a few weeks or months. A lot of FMCG companies struggled in Q3 as far as volumes are concerned. Therefore, how the volume growth plays out and pans out in Q4 is going to be extremely critical. Joshi also said Canara Bank could prove to be a dark horse from among the midcap PSU banks. TCS has pretty much set the trend. We are expecting weaker performance from Infosys and clearly, the disappointment from TCS is rubbing off on what the IT stocks are doing. Where within the Q4 earnings season are you expecting outliers from? Where is it that you are expecting a positive surprise by way of earnings performance? The large consensus is built on expectations that revenue group is going to get muted with the fresh banking crisis which has emerged in the US and the commentary which has come so far from TCS, it seems that BFSI will be a weak link for most stocks within the IT space. Therefore, expectations in terms of an outperformance as far as earnings out beat are concerned seem very muted at this point of time. Margins should be relatively better for most of these companies because attrition issues are largely behind them. What you are probably also seeing in terms of consolidation happening when it comes to either outsourcing or otherwise should also prop up margins to a large extent. Having said that, the kind of price damage that has probably happened for most IT stocks, largecaps, midcaps, a few outliers, within the midcap space have been stocks like KPIT and Sonata. But the story there has been unique in terms of revenue growths far higher than its peers. More order wins coming their way, gives even more revenue visibility going forward. As things start cooling off, EBIT margins should remain extremely stable for these companies as well. Therefore, IT largecaps or the sector as a whole will probably get into a time-wise correction. A large part of the price damage is already done. The midcap universe probably did disappoint in terms of earning expectations. It might correct more because the valuations in comparison with large caps are still relatively higher. Overall for the pack as a whole, valuations have come down. Our take is that that time correction might take a quarter or two, which means better entry points in a few weeks or months.On Thursday, IDBI Bank stock was on a roll. It has been reported that there are three bidders interested in acquiring government stake in IDBI Bank. The government has already cleared the decks. A lot of changes have happened, both at the regulatory front and even at the government front. Could this be a classic news-driven stock for the rest of the year? The stock will probably move as the news comes through. But as far as the asset quality portion is concerned, it is going to take time. Who is going to take over what part of debt, how much of that is already provisioned onto its books and how much of the provisioning is required for the rest of the assets that remain on its balance sheet. Big question marks still remain because asset quality pressures have continued for the bank over the periodicity of time when other banks have reported better sets of numbers on these key parameters. The sentiment move is absolutely possible. But there are a couple of banks that we would like to keep our focus on the private side. The Federal Bank gave a good update as far as Q4 is concerned. Expectation in terms of reasonable advances growth, expected to continue for the better part of this financial year. Deposit mobilization has been reasonably good as well. Therefore the NIMS, even if they stabilize around current levels, with a good portion of their advances growth also coming in from home loans where the margins are relatively higher and asset quality pressures coming off, is one bank to keep on your radar. The other midcap bank from the PSU space would be Canara Bank. They had a huge deposit mobilization in the past few months. How they are going to manage the credit deposit ratio, which they will over the next few quarters, manage their NIMS as well, is going to be critical. But going by management commentary they delivered in Q3, they are able to do that in Q4 and continue the same performance. Canara Bank can be one dark horse from the midcap PSU banks. Your take for the FMCG pack? Do you think earnings can surprise positively or could there be a bit of a negative surprise, especially because the Street is banking a lot on inflation being over and commodity pressure being over? Two things are happening here. One, in terms of volume expectations, the volume push through will be very evident this quarter around. A lot of FMCG companies apparently struggled in Q3 as far as volumes are concerned. Therefore, how the volume growth plays out and pans out in Q4 is going to be extremely critical. You are absolutely right in terms of input costs, the deflationary aspect has started playing through. A lot of high-cost inventory that they probably had on their books has largely got consumed in Q3 and partially in Q4 as well. Therefore, the entire premise in terms of input costs acting as tailwinds rather than headwinds Q1 onwards, should play positively as far as the margins are concerned. The next trigger point for these stocks Q1 onwards is obviously going to be how the El Nino effect plays out. If the IMD forecast is to be believed and if monsoons are normal, rural consumption will come roaring back and that probably aids volume-led price growth for a lot of the FMCG companies, giving them the impetus in terms of the operating leverage that is much needed. These leadership stocks like HUL should probably be kept in portfolio/ What explains this comeback in autos suddenly? Two things. One, the expectations in terms of the worst factors related to semiconductors, input cost inflation largely behind them. Second, in terms of the rush that we probably saw, at least till the December quarter, in terms of bookings as far as SUVs and EVs are concerned within that space itself. CVs have been surprisingly very strong and have held out in terms of volume growth for these companies as well. Last but not the least, coming back to the IMD forecast and El Nino, if it turns out to be a normal year, what was expected in terms of the volume push because of government incentives, be it MSPs or otherwise related to bumper harvest should probably lead to better realisations and improvement in terms of two-wheeler sales as well. Emission norms help CV players to a large extent in general because of the push through that happened in the previous quarter. And therefore, all these factors combined together are probably giving a positive impetus for the sector.

William O'Neil India Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

  • When was William O'Neil India founded?

    William O'Neil India was founded in 1963.

  • Where is William O'Neil India's headquarters?

    William O'Neil India's headquarters is located at A4, Technomark Television, 1st Floor, NGEF Industrial Estate, Graphite India Road, Bengaluru.

  • Who are William O'Neil India's competitors?

    Competitors of William O'Neil India include Estee Capital and 4 more.

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